@conference {14478,
	title = {Discovering alternative scenarios for sustainable urban transportation},
	booktitle = {48th Annual Conference of the Urban Affairs Association},
	year = {2018},
	publisher = {Urban Affairs Association},
	organization = {Urban Affairs Association},
	address = {48th Annual Conference of the Urban Affairs Association},
	abstract = {Scenario techniques have already produced useful insights into creating the visions\&nbsp;about the future of mobility as well as the potential implementation challenges\&nbsp;associated with these visions. Unfortunately, scenario outcomes may appear to be an\&nbsp;oversimplification of what is known as a complex issue in transportation, especially in\&nbsp;determining how the future might unfold. The {\textquoteleft}traditional way{\textquoteright} of developing qualitative\&nbsp;scenarios such as visioning activities often foreshadow the existence of a single best or\&nbsp;a limited future option(s) for a given sector, community, or area. This is problematic as\&nbsp;it views the target population as homogeneous, even though recipients may diverge\&nbsp;widely in their value judgments over what a desirable future might be. As a result,\&nbsp;without explicitly eliciting and negotiating this contested territory, scenario\&nbsp;development runs the risk of creating opposition to sustainability futures rather than\&nbsp;creating a common ground for different worldviews. In an effort to directly address the\&nbsp;oversimplification that may be an artefact of the scenario planning process, we extend\&nbsp;the scenarios developed in the scenario planning workshop on the Future of Urban\&nbsp;Mobility conducted in Singapore to discover other {\textquoteleft}missing{\textquoteright} storylines that might be\&nbsp;plausible but were not identified by the workshop participants. A scenario discovery\&nbsp;method called the cross-impact balance (CIB) analysis will be employed to search for\&nbsp;plausible alternative scenarios especially scenarios that were not discovered by the\&nbsp;participants of the scenario planning workshop. Ultimately, we craft strategies that\&nbsp;could be employed to trigger imaginative, transformative vision of the future, while\&nbsp;navigating complex and potentially contradicting worldviews.<br>\&nbsp;},
	author = {Jude H Kurniawan}
}
