Events - 2021

Please Note: This seminar will be given online.

Graph Laplacian based Gaussian processes on restricted domains

Please Note: This seminar will be given online.

Matrix regression: models, algorithms, and applications

Please Note: This seminar will be given online.

Statistical Learning and Matching Markets

Please Note: This seminar will be given online.

The multispecies totally asymmetric zero range process and Macdonald polynomials

Please Note: This seminar will be given online.

Functional random effects modeling of complex brain data

Please Note: This seminar will be given online.

Excursion sets and critical points of Gaussian random fields over high thresholds

Please Note: This seminar will be given online.

A model-based geostatistical framework for analysing malaria school survey data with missing residence locations

Please Note: This seminar will be given online.

Reluctant interaction modeling in generalized linear models

Please Note: This seminar will be given online.

Peak height distributions of Gaussian random fields and their applications in statistics

Please Note: This seminar will be given online.

Semi-supervised learning with electronic health records

Please Note: This seminar will be given online. This is a joint seminar.

Please Note: This seminar will be given online.

Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling of Spatial Extremes

Climate change and global warming have increased the need to assess and forecast environmental risk over large domains and to develop models for the extremes of natural phenomena such as droughts, floods, torrential precipitation, and heat waves. Because catastrophic events are rare and evidence is limited, Bayesian methods are well suited for the areal analysis of their frequency and size. In this talk, a multi-site modeling strategy for extremes will be described in which spatial dependence is captured through a latent Gaussian random field whose behavior is driven by synthetic covariates from climate reconstruction models. It will be seen through two vignettes that the site-to-site information sharing mechanism built into this approach does not only generally improve inference at any location but also allows for smooth interpolation over large, sparse domains.

The first application will concern the quantification of the magnitude of extreme surges on the Atlantic coast of Canada as part of the development of an overland flood protection product by an insurance company. The second illustration will show how coherent estimates of extreme precipitation of several durations based on a Bayesian hierarchical spatial model enhance current methodology for the construction, at monitored and unmonitored locations, of IDF curves commonly used in infrastructure design, flood protection, and urban drainage or water management.