Monday, July 22, 2019 — 4:00 PM EDT

Negative Marginal Option Values: The Interaction of Frictions and Option Exercise in Variable Annuities


Market frictions can affect option exercise, which in turn affects the value of a marginal option to the writer—and may even yield negative marginal option values. We demonstrate the relevance of this mechanism in the context of variable annuities with popular withdrawal guarantees, both theoretically and empirically. More precisely, we show that in the presence of income and capital gains taxation for the policyholder, adding on a common death benefit option—allowing to continue the withdrawal guarantee in case of death—changes the policy- holder’s optimal withdrawal behavior. As a consequence, the total value of the contract from the perspective of the insurer may decrease, i.e. the marginal option value is negative. This explains the common practice of including death benefit options without additional charges in these products.

Tuesday, August 13, 2019 — 4:00 PM EDT

Spatial Cauchy processes with local tail dependence


We study a class of models for spatial data obtained using Cauchy convolution processes with random indicator kernel functions. We show that the resulting spatial processes have some appealing dependence properties including tail dependence at smaller distances and asymptotic independence at larger distances. We derive extreme-value limits of these processes and consider some interesting special cases. We show that estimation is feasible in high dimensions and the proposed class of models allows for a wide range of dependence structures.

Friday, October 18, 2019 — 8:00 AM to Saturday, October 19, 2019 — 5:00 PM EDT
First student conference in Statistics, Actuarial Science, and Finance

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