University COVID-19 update

The University of Waterloo is constantly updating our most Frequently Asked Questions.

Questions about buildings and services? Visit the list of Modified Services.

Please note: The University of Waterloo is closed for all events until further notice.

Department seminar by John Boland, University of South AustraliaExport this event to calendar

Thursday, May 24, 2012 — 3:00 PM EDT

Reconciling rainfall modelling on differing time scales

Rainfall models perform well for the time scales on which they are produced but for other time scales, a model's performance can be erratic. Previous experience in estimating five minute variance of wind farm output derived from modelling ten second output series (Agrawal et al 2010) has led us to be able to perform a similar exercise with modelling daily rainfall series in a fashion that preserves the monthly variance. We develop an AR(3) model for daily rainfall (after multiplicative deseasoning), and through standard transformations for stationary time series, develop estimates for variances for monthly rainfall series that match the observed monthly variances. Extensions to other climate variables will also be discussed.

Location 
M3 - Mathematics 3
3127
200 University Avenue West

Waterloo, ON N2L 3G1
Canada

S M T W T F S
29
30
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
1
2
  1. 2021 (12)
    1. May (1)
    2. April (5)
    3. March (4)
    4. February (2)
  2. 2020 (71)
    1. December (2)
    2. November (13)
    3. October (16)
    4. September (7)
    5. August (5)
    6. July (3)
    7. June (2)
    8. May (1)
    9. March (4)
    10. February (4)
    11. January (14)
  3. 2019 (65)
    1. December (3)
    2. November (8)
    3. October (8)
    4. September (4)
    5. August (2)
    6. July (2)
    7. June (2)
    8. May (6)
    9. April (7)
    10. March (6)
    11. February (4)
    12. January (13)
  4. 2018 (44)
  5. 2017 (55)
  6. 2016 (44)
  7. 2015 (38)
  8. 2014 (44)
  9. 2013 (46)
  10. 2012 (44)