Risk eliciting techniques

  1. Assumptions and constraint analysis
    • Start by listing all assumptions and constraints for the project.
    • Test them by asking if they could be false.
    • If they could be false, would project objective(s) be affected?
    • Write the risk statement if the answer to the questions is ‘yes’.
      Assumptions and constraints analysis
  2. Risk Breakdown Structure
    • Hierarchical framework of potential sources of risk
      Risk Breakdown Stucture
  3. Brainstorming
    • Best to use a risk breakdown structure or risk categories
    • Modify standard brainstorming rules to include some evaluation of proposed risks
  4. Cause and Effect (Ishakawa) Diagrams
    • The outcome is the impact of the risk
    • The diagram then identifies risks as those uncertain events which could result in the occurrence of the impact
    • For more information on Cause and Effect diagrams see fishbone diagrams
  5. Checklists
    • Use a list of risks from a previous similar project
    • Consider where each is relevant to the current project
  6. Delphi Technique
    • Facilitated autonomous polling of subject matter experts
    • Facilitator gathers the experts initial responses and circulates them to the group (without attribution)
    • Experts can change their answers on the next round
    • Usually generates a consensus after a few rounds
  7. Document Review
    • Careful review of documents such as project charter, statement of work, contract terms, technical specifications, etc.
  8. Interviews
  9. Prompt Lists
    • A prompt list is a set of risk categories that stimulate risk identification
    • Can be used with interviews and brainstorming
  10. Questionnaire
    • Use question format rather than statements
  11. Root-Cause Analysis
    • Seek to identify basic causes of risks that may be visible symptoms of more fundamental forces
  12. SWOT Analysis
    • Identify Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats
    • Strengths and weaknesses relate to the characteristics of the organization conducting the project
    • Opportunities and threats identify the project risks