Thursday, January 10, 2013 4:00 pm
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4:00 pm
EST (GMT -05:00)
Don't know, can't know: Communicating risk and deeper uncertainty
David Spiegelhalter, Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk, University of Cambridge
![David Spiegelhalter, Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk, University of Cambridge](/statistics-and-actuarial-science/sites/default/files/uploads/images/unknown_2.jpeg)
And models are 'just models', and are always wrong to some extent, and so how can we express this deeper uncertainty?
- Reception will follow.
- See "Don't know, can't know" lecture poster (PDF)
References:
- D.J. Spiegelhalter, I Short, M Pearson. Visualizing uncertainty about the future. Science , 333: 1393-1400, 2011 DOI: 10.1126/science.1191181
- D.J. Spiegelhalter, H Riesch. Don't know, can't know: embracing deeper uncertainties when analysing risks. Phil Trans Roy Soc A , 369 4730-4750, 2011. DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2011.0163