Modeling
the
Effect
of
Different
Policy
Mixes
in
the
Transportation
Sector
on
Greenhouse
Gas
(GHG)
Emissions
and
Transportation
Fuel
Mixes
This
seminar
presents
the
preliminary
results
from
a
techno-economic
modeling
exercise
to
assess
the
effects
of
different
policy
instruments
and
their
combination
on
efforts
to
decarbonize
the
transportation
sector
in
Quebec
and
Ontario.
It
is
increasingly
recognized
that
how
various
policy
instruments
are
combined
has
effects
both
in
terms
of
policy
outcomes
(such
as
emission
reductions)
but
also
political
acceptability.
Using
the
North
American
TIMES
Energy
Model
(NATEM)
developed
by
ESMIA,
the
researchers
gauged
effects
on
total
emissions,
emissions
from
the
transport
sector
alone
as
transportation
sector
fuel
mix.
Six
scenarios
were
modeled
through
2030
in
order
to
gauge
the
independent
effects
of
five
individual
policy
instruments
as
well
as
their
combination.
Policy
instruments
included
leading
flexible
regulations
in
the
transportation
sector
such
as
provincial
Zero
Emission
Vehicle
(ZEV)
mandates,
federal
Clean
Fuel
Regulations
and
Vehicle
Emission
Standards
as
well
as
carbon
pricing.
Two
carbon
pricing
instruments
were
modeled,
including
the
California-Quebec
carbon
market
in
Quebec
as
well
as
the
Canadian
federal
carbon
tax.
In
addition,
a
business-as-usual
(BAU)
scenario
that
did
not
include
any
of
the
policy
instruments
was
modeled
as
reference
scenario
for
comparative
purposes.
As
transportation
is
amongst
the
largest
sources
of
emissions
in
Canada,
results
are
important
for
anticipating
the
degree
to
which
Canada
will
be
able
to
respect
its
2030
emission
reduction
targets
under
the
Paris
Agreement
as
well
as
responding
to
debates
about
the
impacts
of
different
types
of
carbon
pricing
instruments.
Purdon
M*,
Ménard,
E,
Vaillancourt
K,
Bahn
O,
Séguin
C,
Murphy
C,
Witcover
J
and
Fulton
L
Speaker:
Dr.
Mark
Purdon
is
an
expert
in
the
emerging
field
of
comparative
environmental
policy,
which
combines
elements
of
comparative
politics,
comparative
public
policy
and
international
relations.
He
is
associate
professor
at
the
École
des
sciences
de
la
gestion
at
UQAM
where
he
holds
the
Chair
in
Decarbonization.
This
research
is
part
of
the
Joint
Clean
Climate
Transport
Research
Partnership
(JCCTRP)
which
has
been
supported
by
SSHRC
as
well
as
the
UQAM
Chair
in
Decarbonization.
