Management Sciences seminar | Armann Ingolfsson: "Comparison of Fluid Approximations for Service Systems with State-Dependent Service Rates and Return Probabilities"

Monday, November 19, 2018 12:00 pm - 1:00 pm EST (GMT -05:00)

We compare two models of a multi-server queueing system with state-dependent service rates and return probabilities. In both models, upon completing service, customers are delayed prior to possibly returning to service. In one model, the determination of whether a customer will return occurs immediately upon service completion, at the beginning of the delay. In the other, that determination is made at the end of the delay, capturing the idea that it takes time for the customer’s condition and needs to evolve or assess, before it becomes known whether a return to service is needed. Our comparison focuses on fluid approximations of the two models. The fluid approximation for the first model, which has been studied previously, consists of a system of two ordinary differential equations. The fluid approximation for the second model, which is new, consists of a delay differential equation. We find that the two fluid approximations have the same set of equilibrium points, but their transient behavior can differ markedly. Both fluid approximations can exhibit bistability for certain parameter values. We use discrete event simulation to illustrate the extent to which the findings from the fluid approximations carry over to the underlying stochastic models.

Full paper is available at https://sites.ualberta.ca/~aingolfs/Publications.htm

Biographical Sketch

Armann Ingolfsson is a Professor of Operations Management at the University of Alberta’s Alberta School of Business. He received a PhD in operations research from MIT. His research interests focus on operations management in the service and health care sectors and developing methodology to analyze congested systems. He has published articles on these topics in Management Science, Operations Research, Production and Operations Management, and various other journals. He was the Editor-in-chief of INFORMS Transactions on Education from 2013 to 2015 and he is currently an Associate Editor for INFOR and for the Journal for Quantitative Analysis in Sports. He is a past President of CORS and has served in various other roles for CORS.

*Light refreshments will be served at 12pm