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In his second year of undergraduate studies at the University of Cambridge, Michael Wallace realized that statistics are everywhere when he discovered SIGNIFICANCE magazine. He’s since written a number of articles for the magazine as he believes in helping everyone understand statistics and the importance of the subject in our lives.

Michael WallaceHe began his post-secondary education thinking that he wanted to study pure mathematics, but his attention turned to statistics because he saw the practical applications. While much of his work is theoretical in the field of biostatistics, working with a lot of equations, Wallace is motivated by real-world questions that we are looking to answer.

While completing his PhD at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Wallace put his theoretical education to work with eye doctors at the University of London. Researchers there were completing a study with patients living with amblyopia, a condition where one eye experiences worse vision than the other. Common treatment includes the use of an eye patch over the good eye to retrain the bad eye through use. In this particular study, the eye patch gathered data.

This practical work taught Wallace about the importance of communication. This included learning how to ask the right questions (even if you think one may sound foolish), being prepared to admit that you don’t know what someone means, and being tactful. Helping the physicians – who are not statisticians – quickly understand complex ideas, such as measurement error, was very important. For example, although an eye doctor assesses your eyesight using an eye chart, measurement error may occur if a patient, unsure of a letter, manages to guess it correctly rather than acknowledge that they cannot see it clearly.

Dr. Ping Yan's latest work explores systematic treatment of the mathematical underpinnings of work in the theory of outbreak dynamics and their control, covering balanced perspectives between theory and practice including new material on contemporary topics in the field of infectious disease modelling. 

His work entitled "Quantitavtive Methods for Investigating Infectious Disease Outbreaks" has been published by the highly respected Springer Publishing Company. 

Quantitavtive Methods for Investigating Infectious Disease OutbreaksDr. Ping Yan is an adjunct professor in the Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, at the University of Waterloo. His work focuses on applying statistical and mathematical models in communicable diseases transmission, prevention and control, with a wide range of topics from estimation of HIV/AIDS and viral hepatitis disease burden to informing policy regarding pandemic influenza preparedness, vaccination and emergency response.

Datafest group photo with students and faculty 50 undergraduate students took part analyzing and applying data in the 48 hour on campus 2019 ASA DataFest competition earlier this month. Globally, over 2,000 students partake in this competition at several of the most prestigious colleges and universities including the University of Waterloo.

On April 12-15, 2019, the Risk Management, Economic Sustainability, and Actuarial Science Development in Indonesia (READI) Project, funded by Global Affairs Canada, conducted a short course on “Financial Engineering I” in Jakarta, Indonesia. The training was the 11 of the series of short course held in collaboration with the University of Waterloo in which the Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science faculty members have led the teaching on all short courses. Prof. Ken Seng Tan, PhD, ASA, CERA, and Sunlife Fellowship in International Actuarial Science, was the instructor of the four days intensive training program. READI also invited Steven Chen, FSA, FCIA, CFA, MAA, an alumni of the University of Waterloo, as the guest speaker to provide a practitioners’ perspective on Financial Engineering.

Read the full article and learn more about the READI project on their website.

The University Nebraska-Lincoln (UNL) Global Research Rankings of Actuarial Science and Risk Management and Insurance has ranked the University of Waterloo the number one non-business, degree-granting school worldwide. Waterloo was ranked first in both the number of papers in the leading risk and insurance journal, as well as in the top four leading actuarial journals.

“I am extremely proud of the results of the UNL rankings,” said Stefan Steiner, Chair of the Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science. “Ranking first worldwide in the non-business school list is testament to the strong research happening at the University of Waterloo.”

The Statistical Society of Canada (SSC) awarded Peijun Sang as the winner of the 2019 Pierre Robillard Award of the Statistical Society of Canada. This prize recognizes the best PhD thesis in probability or statistics defended at a Canadian university in a given year. Peijun’s thesis, entitled “New Methods and Models in Functional Data Analysis" was written while he was a doctoral student at the Simon Fraser University, working under the supervision of Jiguo Cao.

His current research interests are focused on functional data analysis methods. Data from electroencephalogram signals, function magnetic resonance imaging and diffusion tensor imaging are important examples. He is interested in applying functional data analysis techniques to study functional connectivity between imaging data collected from different regions of the brain. He is concerned with large sample properties of high dimensional functional regression models that have been proposed for this type of data. He is also interested in dependence modelling with copulas for discrete and time-to-event outcomes.

Mu ZhuProfessor Mu Zhu of Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science at University of Waterloo is elected Fellow of the American Statistical Association (ASA). The citation reads: “For outstanding research contributions to statistical learning in recommender systems, ensemble approaches to variable selection, unbalanced classification and rare target detection; and service to the profession.”

The designation of ASA Fellow has been a significant honor for nearly 100 years. Under ASA bylaws, the Committee on Fellows can elect up to one-third of one percent of the total association membership as fellows each year.

The 2019 class of ASA Fellows will be formally presented at the award session at this year’s Joint Statistical Meetings in Denver, Colorado.

Article ResearchersResearchers have discovered that stocks listed on the market for between 10 and 20 years could be in a sweet spot for investment. 

The new study from the University of Waterloo suggests that investing in stocks listed on the market for between 10 and 20 years could – on average – increase your expected returns.

“It is widely believed that smaller companies generally outperform larger companies on the stock market,” said Tony Wirjanto, a professor jointly appointed in Waterloo’s School of Accounting and Finance and Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science. “But we have found that in the last 20 years, the age of a stock has a much more profound effect on the expected return. The idea is that you shouldn’t just look at the size, but the age of the stocks, if you actually want to do well on the market.”

Image of a GlobeEvery April, math and statistics associations across the country celebrate Mathematics and Statistics Awareness Month, a full month of programs and initiatives dedicated to promoting better public understanding of mathematics and statistics. ASA programs include a virtual science fair, weekly challenge questions, and video Q&As with working professionals! We hope you enjoy these fun opportunities to participate and share them with your friends and colleagues.

Learn More at AM STAT News.

View more about ASA Member News online.